Views Expressed

The views expressed in this blog are mine,it does not reflect the view of the institution where I work.

Sunday, November 9, 2008

Stock Market and Economic Development: A Causality Test

ABSTRACT

An attempt has been made in this paper to examine the existence of causality relationship between stock market and economic growth based on the time series data for the year 1988 to 2005 using Granger causality test. The study finds the empirical evidence of long-run integration and causality of macroeconomic variables and stock market indicators even in a small capital market of Nepal. The causality has been observed only in real terms but not in nominal variables. In econometric sense, it depicts that the stock market plays significant role in determining economic growth and vice versa. Interestingly, the causation is evident with a lag of 3 to 4 years. Also, the paper reveals the importance of stock market development for fostering economic development.

Authors: Surya Bahadur G.C. and Suman Neupane

Published on "Journal of Nepalese Business Studies 2006/III/1 pp. 36-44"

Thursday, November 6, 2008

Who is Smarter than Whom


It shows the GRE scores secured by the Ph D students from different fields.
( Source: http://mjperry.blogspot.com )




Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Important Web Addresses For Nepali Researchers

Dear users I want to make this site more informative for the nepali researchers, especially for those who are conducting researches in economic issues of Nepal. I hope that my small effort may be helpful and time saving for the user. Please help me by providing the name of websites as well as with short description about it.
Suman Neupane. email: neupsuman@gmail.com

News
Old news articles published in Nepal can be viewed in this website http://www.nepalresearch.com

Central Banks
Central Bank of Nepal http://www.nrb.org.np
Central Bank of India http://www.rbi.org.in/

Study Economics Abroad
Economics Departments with Ph.D. Programs in American and Canadian Universities http://www.albany.edu/econ/eco_phds.html
Research and Study

Monday, May 26, 2008

Rule Based Economy

Globalization is making a world economy more complex. It increases the interdependence of the countries. Disturbance in one economy may affect the whole world. It will be difficult to control the economy because there are large numbers of players (countries). Each players act according to their benefits. For example, recently we saw that most of the countries restricted their export of food stuffs to control the rising prices of food items. These countries did not consider the importance of food items for other countries that are unable produce food grains. Same act is seen in oil producing countries. I think that to control the system we can make “rule based world” or “formula based world”.

“Rule based world” means, given the technology, each and every economic agents must set the formula for determining price of their output। As an example, the OPEC should set the formula for price of oil considering its cost, scarcity, demand, profit etc. Once the formula is set should not be allowed immediate change. The formula should be transparent to the public so that any one can calculate the price. The countries should supply the product at price determined by using the formula. This provision can be applied to all industries. It has three benefits: easy to control the economy, continuous supply of output, one can correctly anticipate the future. So, major problems are solved. Economic agents and policy makers correctly anticipate the future events. The national economy as well as the global economy will be under the control of economists.
“Commitment on the mathematical rule for trade can make the world better”